|
“Milk Marketing”….Things
to Think About – Part III
Margot Rudstrom, Extension Economist
November 25, 2005
This
is the third and final article on “Milk Marketing.” Part
I was on establishing your target
price. Part II asked
the question, “What
is a good price for the Market?” The next step
in implementing your marketing plan is taking action (Part
III).
There are a number of pricing tools available to help
you take action. Pricing tools can be grouped by how they
function. In a nutshell, one group of tools, cash forward
contracts offered by milk processors and futures contracts
or hedging, will fix the price you will receive.
Whereas, put options and minimum price contracts offered
by milk processors are tools that allow you to set
a floor for your Class III milk price.
Hedging with Class III Futures Contracts
Hedging dairy futures involves
producing milk and selling a Class III futures contract.
When you sell a futures contract you agree to sell a
specified volume of milk, 200,000 pounds, at a specified
price at a date in the future. There are three things
to remember when hedging: 1) It is very important that
you have enough milk volume, at least 200,000 pounds,
when you hedge; 2) you will need to work with a broker
who is licensed to buy and sell futures contracts on the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME); therefore, there will
be a broker fee; 3) you will need to establish a margin
account with your broker. A percentage of the value of
the futures contract needs to be kept in your margin account.
If the value of the futures contract increases, you will
be required to put more money into your margin account.
This is called a “margin call.” If the value
of your futures contract declines, you will have excess
money in your margin account.
Cash Forward Contracts with a Processor
Many milk processors offer fixed
price cash forward contracts. Before you can forward
contract with a processor you will need to sign a participation
agreement or master agreement. The participation agreement
outlines the terms and conditions of cash forward contracts
including the details on the pricing mechanism the processor
uses, termination mechanisms, penalties for undelivered
milk contracted, minimum contract size, maximum amount
you can contract in any given month, and other relevant
details. It is important to “READ” the
participation agreement and ask questions. READ stands
for Really Examine All Details.
Signing a participation agreement does not mean you need
to forward contract. However, if you do not have a signed
participation agreement you will not be able to forward
contract with your processor.
The processor contracts are based on the CME Class III
futures contracts. In a sense, the processor is hedging
for you. They are able to pool milk from a number of producers
to cover the 200,000 pound volume of a futures contract.
The processor deducts an administrative fee off the Class
III price to cover the margin account.
Most processors allow you the opportunity to forward
contract milk month by month. For example, you might choose
to contract milk for January, April and July. Some processors
offer the opportunity to contract for 12 consecutive months.
Put Options
Put options are pricing tools
that let you set a minimum price for your milk by selling
a futures contract at a pre-specified price. That price
is called the “strike
price.” You can buy a put option for any month for
which a Class III futures contract is trading. There are
a range of strike prices in $0.25 increments above and
below the Class III futures contract value. You pay a premium
when you buy a put. Like hedging, you will need a broker
to purchase your put. Two general rules apply when it comes
to the premium. First, the higher the strike price, the
higher the premium. Second, the further into the future
you buy a put, the higher the premium.
Minimum Price Contracts with Processors
These contracts work like put options. As with fixed
price contracts, the cost to a producer for a minimum price
contract is the cost of the put option plus an administrative
fee. If the Class III price is announced above the minimum
price in the contract, you receive the announced price.
If the announced Class III price is below the minimum price,
you receive the minimum price specified in your contract.
It is important that you track your marketing decisions.
I keep a 12-month tracking sheet that I update every time
I take a marketing action or when the Class III price is
announced. I track the volume of milk I have protected,
the marketing tool(s) I used to protect it and the milk
price I will receive on my protected milk. The most difficult
thing in milk marketing is taking an action. Even
when you know you are locking in a profit, it is often
difficult to take the action. When you are marketing, you
will miss opportunities. But remember, the purpose of milk
marketing is to meet your target prices. If the market
provides you that opportunity, are you ready and able to
take it? Having a marketing plan tells you what action
you will take if the market offers your target prices.
|